Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 4.240944e-05 0.000050 0.000057 0.000066 0.000075 0.000086 0.000098
2025-01-26 3.197524e-05 0.000041 0.000051 0.000064 0.000078 0.000095 0.000114
2025-02-02 2.677791e-05 0.000037 0.000050 0.000065 0.000085 0.000107 0.000135
2025-02-09 2.208646e-05 0.000033 0.000047 0.000065 0.000088 0.000116 0.000151
2025-02-16 2.006125e-05 0.000032 0.000047 0.000069 0.000096 0.000130 0.000173
2025-02-23 1.692834e-05 0.000029 0.000045 0.000068 0.000099 0.000137 0.000188
2025-03-02 1.362885e-05 0.000025 0.000041 0.000065 0.000098 0.000140 0.000196
2025-03-09 1.130091e-05 0.000022 0.000039 0.000063 0.000098 0.000144 0.000207
2025-03-16 9.452407e-06 0.000020 0.000036 0.000062 0.000099 0.000149 0.000217
2025-03-23 8.076967e-06 0.000018 0.000035 0.000062 0.000101 0.000154 0.000229
2025-03-30 6.856581e-06 0.000017 0.000033 0.000061 0.000102 0.000159 0.000241
2025-04-06 5.592317e-06 0.000015 0.000031 0.000059 0.000101 0.000161 0.000248
2025-04-13 4.250967e-06 0.000013 0.000028 0.000056 0.000100 0.000163 0.000256
2025-04-20 3.290855e-06 0.000011 0.000026 0.000054 0.000100 0.000167 0.000267
2025-04-27 2.869137e-06 0.000010 0.000026 0.000056 0.000105 0.000178 0.000288
2025-05-04 2.328544e-06 0.000009 0.000025 0.000056 0.000107 0.000185 0.000304
2025-05-11 2.183507e-06 0.000009 0.000026 0.000059 0.000115 0.000201 0.000332
2025-05-18 1.753955e-06 0.000009 0.000025 0.000058 0.000117 0.000207 0.000347
2025-05-25 1.267162e-06 0.000007 0.000023 0.000056 0.000115 0.000208 0.000354
2025-06-01 9.487444e-07 0.000006 0.000021 0.000054 0.000115 0.000211 0.000365
2025-06-08 7.099019e-07 0.000006 0.000020 0.000053 0.000115 0.000215 0.000376
2025-06-15 5.454953e-07 0.000005 0.000019 0.000052 0.000116 0.000221 0.000391
2025-06-22 4.072986e-07 0.000004 0.000018 0.000052 0.000117 0.000226 0.000404